UNSUPERVISED KNOWLEDGE ADAPTATION FOR PASSENGER DEMAND FORECASTING

Can Li, Lei Bai, Wei Liu, Lina Yao, S. Travis Waller

Research output: Chapter in book / Conference proceedingConference article published in proceeding or bookAcademic researchpeer-review

Abstract

Considering the multimodal nature of transport systems and cross-modal correlations, there is a growing trend of enhancing demand forecasting accuracy by optimization with multiple transport modes data jointly, which can improve accuracy but be less practical when different parts of multimodal datasets are owned by different institutions who cannot directly share dat. This study proposes an Unsupervised Knowledge Adaptation Demand Forecasting framework, which forecasts the demand of one mode (i.e., the target mode) by utilizing a pretrained model based on data of another mode, but does not require direct data sharing of another transport mode (i.e., the source mode). The unsupervised knowledge adaptation strategy is utilized to form the sharing features for forecasting by making the pre-trained network and the sharing extraction network analogous. Our findings illustrate that unsupervised knowledge adaptation by sharing pre-trained models to the target transport mode can improve the forecasting performance instead of direct data sharing.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 26th International Conference of Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies, HKSTS 2022
EditorsSisi Jian, Sen Li, Hong K. Lo
PublisherHong Kong Society for Transportation Studies Limited
Pages500-508
Number of pages9
ISBN (Electronic)9789881581402
Publication statusPublished - 2022
Event26th International Conference of Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies, HKSTS 2022 - Hong Kong, Hong Kong
Duration: 12 Dec 202213 Dec 2022

Publication series

NameProceedings of the 26th International Conference of Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies, HKSTS 2022

Conference

Conference26th International Conference of Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies, HKSTS 2022
Country/TerritoryHong Kong
CityHong Kong
Period12/12/2213/12/22

Keywords

  • Demand Forecasting
  • Knowledge Adaptation
  • Unsupervised Learning

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Transportation

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