Two-step translation method for time-dependent reliability of structures subject to both continuous deterioration and sudden events

Hong Yuan Guo, You Dong, Xiang Lin Gu

Research output: Journal article publicationJournal articleAcademic researchpeer-review

5 Citations (Scopus)


Civil infrastructure can be subjected to different deterioration scenarios (e.g., continuous deterioration and sudden events) during its service life. Time-dependent reliability analysis of a deteriorating system is of vital importance in the structural design, assessment, and management process. In this paper, a general and novel probability density function-informed framework for time-dependent reliability analysis is developed, considering different deterioration processes and system-level performance. Both continuous deterioration and sudden events are considered within the proposed framework. For the scenario with random sudden drops and/or significant differences in deterioration rates, a novel two-step translation method is proposed to assess the probability density of the performance function within the service life of a structure. In this method, translation operation is conducted twice; the first time to build a virtual and differentiable performance function, and the second, to solve the actual probability density function based on the results from the first step. Then, three illustrative examples are assessed: a simple deteriorating case, a component-level case, and a system-level case. The relevant results demonstrate the feasibility and efficiency of the proposed method.

Original languageEnglish
Article number111291
JournalEngineering Structures
Publication statusPublished - 15 Dec 2020


  • Continuous deterioration
  • Deteriorating modelling
  • Probability density function-informed method (PDFM)
  • Sudden event
  • Time-dependent reliability

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Civil and Structural Engineering

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