Tourism's vulnerability and resilience to terrorism

Anyu Liu, Stephen Albert Pratt

Research output: Journal article publicationJournal articleAcademic researchpeer-review

123 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Most tourists will seek safe and secure destinations and avoid those that have been plagued by terrorism. This research quantifies the relationship between terrorism and tourism in 95 different countries and territories using international tourism demand models. After controlling for income, we find there is no long run effect of terrorism on international tourism demand and the short run effect is quite limited from a global perspective using panel data models. Only nine countries out of the 95 show a long run impact of terrorism on tourism and 25 countries out of the 95 show a short run impact using time series models, implying that international tourism is resilient to terrorism. The influence of terrorism is diverse in destinations with different political instability, income levels and tourism intensities.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)404-417
Number of pages14
JournalTourism Management
Volume60
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jun 2017

Keywords

  • Crisis management
  • International tourism demand
  • Political instability
  • Security
  • Terrorism

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Development
  • Transportation
  • Tourism, Leisure and Hospitality Management
  • Strategy and Management

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