The impacts of political uncertainty on asset prices: Evidence from the Bo scandal in China

Laura Xiaolei Liu, Haibing Shu, K. C.John Wei

Research output: Journal article publicationJournal articleAcademic researchpeer-review

84 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Models of political risk predict that increases in political uncertainty cause stock prices to fall, especially for politically sensitive firms. We use the event of the Bo Xilai political scandal in 2012 in China as an exogenous shock to identify the impact of political uncertainty on asset prices. We document that the Bo scandal caused a significant drop in stock prices, especially for firms that are more politically sensitive. Further analysis shows that the stock price drop is mainly driven by a change in discount rate, providing strong support for the existence of priced political risk.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)286-310
Number of pages25
JournalJournal of Financial Economics
Volume125
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Aug 2017

Keywords

  • Cash flow news
  • Discount rate news
  • Political uncertainty
  • Politically sensitive firms
  • Stock returns

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Accounting
  • Finance
  • Economics and Econometrics
  • Strategy and Management

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