The impact of interest rates upon housing prices: an empirical study of Hong Kong's market

Tak Yun Joe Wong, Chi Man Eddie Hui, William Seabrooke

Research output: Journal article publicationJournal articleAcademic researchpeer-review

18 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Investigates primarily the role of interest rates on housing prices from expectation perspectives. It quantifies the impact of interest rates on price movements from 1981 to 2001 in Hong Kong. The principal finding is that housing prices display a moderately high correlation with interest rates in the deflationary 1998-2001 period. Reduced interest rates are linked to higher housing prices until 1997, thereafter, such inverse relationship appears to be non-existent. The impact of interest rates tends to be significantly positive in the inflationary pre-1997 period. But most of the fall in housing prices since early 1998 can be attributed to low hope-led price expectations. The results indicate that interest rates do not “Granger-cause” housing prices, and that the positive interest rate effect in deflationary periods seems to have been negated by anticipated capital losses.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)153-170
Number of pages18
JournalProperty Management
Volume21
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 May 2003

Keywords

  • Hong Kong
  • Housing
  • Interest rates
  • Prices

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Tourism, Leisure and Hospitality Management

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