Probabilistic Time-Dependent Multihazard Life-Cycle Assessment and Resilience of Bridges Considering Climate Change

You Dong, Dan M. Frangopol

Research output: Journal article publicationJournal articleAcademic researchpeer-review

87 Citations (Scopus)


Climate change and an increase in the number of hazards and/or their intensities may increase the probability of failure associated with civil infrastructure systems. Understanding how natural hazards affect the life-cycle performance of highway bridges can lead to improved preparedness prior to extreme disasters and can ultimately benefit society. In this paper, a framework for time-variant loss and resilience assessment of highway bridges under time-dependent multiple hazards is presented. The effects of earthquakes and floods on bridges are both investigated. The life-cycle hazard losses with and without aging effects and climate change are computed. Additionally, the probabilistic changes in the hazard intensity and frequency resulting from climate change on the total life-cycle hazard loss are also investigated. The proposed framework is applied to a highway bridge located in California.
Original languageEnglish
Article number04016034
JournalJournal of Performance of Constructed Facilities
Issue number5
Publication statusPublished - 1 Oct 2016
Externally publishedYes


  • Climate change
  • Earthquake
  • Flood
  • Life-cycle loss
  • Multiple hazards
  • Resilience
  • Time-dependent hazard

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Civil and Structural Engineering
  • Building and Construction
  • Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality

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