Optimal plan for land use and transport developments with consideration of climate changes

H. W. Ho, Agachai Sumalee

Research output: Chapter in book / Conference proceedingConference article published in proceeding or bookAcademic researchpeer-review

Abstract

In this paper, a multistage land-use and transport design model with consideration of possible future weather conditions is proposed. This model is formulated as a bilevel model of which the upper level model is focused on finding the optimal allocation of housing and link capacity expansion that minimize the expected total travel cost of the design period. Due to the multiple climate scenarios and design stages, a scenario tree will be considered for the possible realization of climate scenarios in defining the quasi-dynamic lower level model. In the lower level, probit-based SUE model is formulated for each of the weather scenarios and the SUE models between design stages are interrelated by the travel costs and demand distribution function. Sensitivity analysis of the quasi-dynamic lower level model is completed for allowing the upper level model to be solved by standard gradient-based nonlinear optimization algorithms.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 18th International Conference of Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies, HKSTS 2013 - Travel Behaviour and Society
PublisherHong Kong Society for Transportation Studies Limited
Pages647-654
Number of pages8
ISBN (Print)9789881581426
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jan 2013
Event18th International Conference of Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies on Travel Behaviour and Society, HKSTS 2013 - Hong Kong, Hong Kong
Duration: 14 Dec 201316 Dec 2013

Conference

Conference18th International Conference of Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies on Travel Behaviour and Society, HKSTS 2013
Country/TerritoryHong Kong
CityHong Kong
Period14/12/1316/12/13

Keywords

  • Climate change
  • Land-use and transport design
  • Probit-based SUE
  • Scenario tree approach

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Transportation

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