Modelling the SARS outbreak in Hong Kong with small world or scale free networks

M. Small, Chi Kong Tse

Research output: Unpublished conference presentation (presented paper, abstract, poster)Conference presentation (not published in journal/proceeding/book)Academic researchpeer-review

Abstract

The SARS outbreak in Hong Kong during 2003 exhibited several “super-spreader events” (SSEs) which cannot be modeled well with standard homogeneous SIR or SEIR type models. We propose an alternative model structure using either small-world or scale-free structure of inter-node connections and disease transmission only along the network links. Such structure naturally models the SSEs and provides simulations quantitatively similar to the true dynamics.
Original languageEnglish
Pages581-584
Number of pages4
Publication statusPublished - 2004
EventInternational Symposium on Nonlinear Theory and Its Applications [NOLTA] -
Duration: 1 Jan 2004 → …

Conference

ConferenceInternational Symposium on Nonlinear Theory and Its Applications [NOLTA]
Period1/01/04 → …

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