TY - JOUR
T1 - Modeling the fluctuations of groundwater level by employing ensemble deep learning techniques
AU - Afan, Haitham Abdulmohsin
AU - Ibrahem Ahmed Osman, Ahmedbahaaaldin
AU - Essam, Yusuf
AU - Ahmed, Ali Najah
AU - Huang, Yuk Feng
AU - Kisi, Ozgur
AU - Sherif, Mohsen
AU - Sefelnasr, Ahmed
AU - Chau, Kwok wing
AU - El-Shafie, Ahmed
N1 - Funding Information:
The authors would like to thank National Hydraulic Research Institute of Malaysia (NAHRIM) for providing the data to conduct this study.
Publisher Copyright:
© 2021 The Author(s). Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.
PY - 2021/9
Y1 - 2021/9
N2 - This study proposes two techniques: Deep Learning (DL) and Ensemble Deep Learning (EDL) to predict groundwater level (GWL) for five wells in Malaysia. Two scenarios were proposed, scenario-1 (S1): GWL from 4 wells was used as inputs to predict the GWL in the fifth well and scenario-2 (S2): time series with lag time up to 20 days for all five wells. The results from S1 prove that the ensemble EDL generally performs superior to the DL in the estimation of GWL of each station using data of remaining four wells except the Paya Indah Wetland in which the DL method provide better estimates compared to EDL. Regarding S2, the EDL also exhibits superior performance in predicting daily GWL in all five stations compared to the DL model. Implementing EDL decreased the RMSE, NAE and RRMSE by 11.6%, 27.3% and 22.3% and increased the R, Spearman rho and Kendall tau by 0.4%, 1.1% and 3.5%, respectively. Moreover, EDL for S2 shows a high level of precision within less time lag, ranging between 2 and 4 compared to DL. Therefore, the EDL model has the potential in managing the sustainability of groundwater in Malaysia.
AB - This study proposes two techniques: Deep Learning (DL) and Ensemble Deep Learning (EDL) to predict groundwater level (GWL) for five wells in Malaysia. Two scenarios were proposed, scenario-1 (S1): GWL from 4 wells was used as inputs to predict the GWL in the fifth well and scenario-2 (S2): time series with lag time up to 20 days for all five wells. The results from S1 prove that the ensemble EDL generally performs superior to the DL in the estimation of GWL of each station using data of remaining four wells except the Paya Indah Wetland in which the DL method provide better estimates compared to EDL. Regarding S2, the EDL also exhibits superior performance in predicting daily GWL in all five stations compared to the DL model. Implementing EDL decreased the RMSE, NAE and RRMSE by 11.6%, 27.3% and 22.3% and increased the R, Spearman rho and Kendall tau by 0.4%, 1.1% and 3.5%, respectively. Moreover, EDL for S2 shows a high level of precision within less time lag, ranging between 2 and 4 compared to DL. Therefore, the EDL model has the potential in managing the sustainability of groundwater in Malaysia.
KW - deep learning model
KW - ensemble deep learning model
KW - Groundwater level prediction
KW - Malaysia
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85115650756&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1080/19942060.2021.1974093
DO - 10.1080/19942060.2021.1974093
M3 - Journal article
AN - SCOPUS:85115650756
SN - 1994-2060
VL - 15
SP - 1420
EP - 1439
JO - Engineering Applications of Computational Fluid Mechanics
JF - Engineering Applications of Computational Fluid Mechanics
IS - 1
ER -