Abstract
We present a mathematical model to investigate the transmission dynamics of the 2016–2017 Yemen cholera outbreak. Our model describes the interaction between the human hosts and the pathogenic bacteria, under the impact of limited medical resources. We fit our model to Yemen epidemic data published by the World Health Organization, at both the country and regional levels. We find that the Yemen cholera outbreak is shaped by the interplay of environmental, socioeconomic, and climatic factors. Our results suggest that improvement of the public health system and strategic implementation of control measures with respect to time and location are key to future cholera prevention and intervention in Yemen.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 80-85 |
| Number of pages | 6 |
| Journal | Journal of Theoretical Biology |
| Volume | 451 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 14 Aug 2018 |
Keywords
- data fitting
- mathematical modeling
- Yemen cholera outbreak
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Statistics and Probability
- Modelling and Simulation
- Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology(all)
- Immunology and Microbiology(all)
- Agricultural and Biological Sciences(all)
- Applied Mathematics
