Modeling the 2016–2017 Yemen cholera outbreak with the impact of limited medical resources

Daihai He, Xueying Wang, Daozhou Gao, Jin Wang

Research output: Journal article publicationJournal articleAcademic researchpeer-review

21 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

We present a mathematical model to investigate the transmission dynamics of the 2016–2017 Yemen cholera outbreak. Our model describes the interaction between the human hosts and the pathogenic bacteria, under the impact of limited medical resources. We fit our model to Yemen epidemic data published by the World Health Organization, at both the country and regional levels. We find that the Yemen cholera outbreak is shaped by the interplay of environmental, socioeconomic, and climatic factors. Our results suggest that improvement of the public health system and strategic implementation of control measures with respect to time and location are key to future cholera prevention and intervention in Yemen.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)80-85
Number of pages6
JournalJournal of Theoretical Biology
Volume451
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 14 Aug 2018

Keywords

  • data fitting
  • mathematical modeling
  • Yemen cholera outbreak

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Statistics and Probability
  • Modelling and Simulation
  • Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology(all)
  • Immunology and Microbiology(all)
  • Agricultural and Biological Sciences(all)
  • Applied Mathematics

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