TY - JOUR
T1 - Machine learning-based spatial downscaling and bias-correction framework for high-resolution temperature forecasting
AU - Meng, Xiangrui
AU - Zhao, Huan
AU - Shu, Ting
AU - Zhao, Junhua
AU - Wan, Qilin
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature 2024.
PY - 2024/6/26
Y1 - 2024/6/26
N2 - High-resolution temperature forecasting plays a crucial role in various applications such as climate impact assessment, hydrological modeling, and localized weather forecasting. The existing low-resolution forecast data may not accurately capture the fine-grained temperature patterns required for localized predictions. These forecasts may contain biases that need to be corrected for accurate results. Therefore, there is a need for an effective framework that can downscale low-resolution forecast data and correct biases to generate high-resolution temperature forecasts. The paper proposes a machine learning-based spatial downscaling and bias-correction framework for high-resolution temperature forecasting. The framework utilizes low-resolution forecast data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and real-time 1km analysis product data from the National Meteorological Administration, to generate high-resolution 1km forecast temperature data. The framework consists of four modules: data acquisition module, data preprocessing module, downscaling and correction model module, and post-processing and visualization module. Through experiments, it demonstrated that the framework has superior performance and potential in meteorological data downscaling and correction and can be used to achieve real-time high-resolution temperature forecasting, which has important significance for various applications such as climate impact assessment, hydrological modeling, and localized weather forecasting.
AB - High-resolution temperature forecasting plays a crucial role in various applications such as climate impact assessment, hydrological modeling, and localized weather forecasting. The existing low-resolution forecast data may not accurately capture the fine-grained temperature patterns required for localized predictions. These forecasts may contain biases that need to be corrected for accurate results. Therefore, there is a need for an effective framework that can downscale low-resolution forecast data and correct biases to generate high-resolution temperature forecasts. The paper proposes a machine learning-based spatial downscaling and bias-correction framework for high-resolution temperature forecasting. The framework utilizes low-resolution forecast data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and real-time 1km analysis product data from the National Meteorological Administration, to generate high-resolution 1km forecast temperature data. The framework consists of four modules: data acquisition module, data preprocessing module, downscaling and correction model module, and post-processing and visualization module. Through experiments, it demonstrated that the framework has superior performance and potential in meteorological data downscaling and correction and can be used to achieve real-time high-resolution temperature forecasting, which has important significance for various applications such as climate impact assessment, hydrological modeling, and localized weather forecasting.
KW - Bias correction
KW - Channel attention
KW - Machine learning
KW - Spatial downscaling
KW - Temperature forecasting
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85197180382&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1007/s10489-024-05504-z
DO - 10.1007/s10489-024-05504-z
M3 - Journal article
AN - SCOPUS:85197180382
SN - 0924-669X
JO - Applied Intelligence
JF - Applied Intelligence
ER -