Forecasting construction manpower demand: An econometric model

James M.W. Wong, Ng S. Thomas, Ping Chuen Chan, Yat Hung Chiang

Research output: Chapter in book / Conference proceedingConference article published in proceeding or bookAcademic researchpeer-review

1 Citation (Scopus)


Manpower forecast has become an important management tool for decision makers and policy makers to match and structure the skills of the workforce. National planners are also increasingly aware that the competitiveness and growth of the nation, as well as its social welfare, depend in no small degree on the full exploitation of the skills of its people. However, there is very limited research in establishing a comprehensive manpower demand forecasting model in construction. This paper aims to present the framework of an advanced econometric model for estimating the manpower demand in construction. Vector error correction modeling, regression analysis and exponential smoothing technique were applied to develop the relationships between manpower demand and the relevant variables in the construction industry. The forecasting models developed can benefit the construction industry by providing critical information on the future construction manpower requirements and assist policy makers and training planners to formulate training strategies. Apart from this practical use, the research also contributes new knowledgeand a solid framework to the area of manpower forecasting and planning.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationBuilding a Sustainable Future - Proceedings of the 2009 Construction Research Congress
Number of pages13
Publication statusPublished - 11 Sept 2009
Event2009 Construction Research Congress - Building a Sustainable Future - Seattle, WA, United States
Duration: 5 Apr 20097 Apr 2009


Conference2009 Construction Research Congress - Building a Sustainable Future
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CitySeattle, WA


  • Construction industry
  • Forecasting
  • Manpower planning
  • Vector error-correction model

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Civil and Structural Engineering
  • Building and Construction


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