Employment Protection and Household Mortgage Debt

Exploiting the staggered adoption of U.S. state-level labor protection laws, we find that household mortgage debt increases following the passage of these laws. Our findings are consistent with theories predicting that better employment protection reduces households’ layoff risk, making lenders less concerned about borrowers’ ability to repay their debts and more inclined to offer them mortgage loans. Supporting this channel, we find that the loan approval rate increases following the adoption of labor protection laws and that the effect of the laws’ adoption on mortgage debt is concentrated in old households.