Abstract
This letter proposes a novel approach to directly formulate the prediction intervals of wind power generation based on extreme learningmachine and particle swarm optimization, where prediction intervals are generated through direct optimization of both the coverage probability and sharpness, without the prior knowledge of forecasting errors. The proposed approach has been proved to be highly efficient and reliable through preliminary case studies using real-world wind farm data, indicating a high potential of practical application.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 4877-4878 |
Number of pages | 2 |
Journal | IEEE Transactions on Power Systems |
Volume | 28 |
Issue number | 4 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 10 May 2013 |
Keywords
- Extreme learning machine
- Forecasting
- Particle swarm optimization
- Prediction interval
- Wind power
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Energy Engineering and Power Technology
- Electrical and Electronic Engineering