COVID-19 and the aviation industry: The interrelationship between the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic and the frequency of flights on the EU market

Anyu Liu, Yoo Ri Kim, John Frankie O'Connell

Research output: Journal article publicationJournal articleAcademic researchpeer-review

10 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This study aims to investigate the contribution of aviation related travel restrictions to control the spread of COVID-19 in Europe by using quasi-experiment approaches including the regression discontinuity design and a two-stage spatial Durbin model with an instrumental variable. The study provides concrete evidence that the severe curtailing of flights had a spontaneous impact in controlling the spread of COVID-19. The counterfactual analysis encapsulated the spillover effects deduced that a 1% decrease in flight frequency can decrease the number of confirmed cases by 0.908%. The study also reveals that during the lockdown, the aviation industry cancelled over 795,000 flights, which resulted in averting an additional six million people being from being infected and saving 101,309 lives.

Original languageEnglish
Article number103298
JournalAnnals of Tourism Research
Volume91
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Nov 2021
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Airline
  • COVID-19
  • Flight frequency
  • Regression discontinuity design
  • Travel restrictions
  • Two-stage spatial Durbin model

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Development
  • Tourism, Leisure and Hospitality Management

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