Cash-flow news and the investment effect in the cross section of stock returns

Mike Qinghao Mao, K. C. John Wei

Research output: Journal article publicationJournal articleAcademic researchpeer-review

3 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This study provides novel evidence that cash-flow news quantitatively explains the investment effect in the cross section of stock returns. The negative return predictability of asset growth, investment growth, and accruals is evident only through the cash-flow news component of returns. The cash-flow news returns associated with investment-sorted portfolios exhibit a reversal from the preformation period to the postformation period. Such a return reversal is in line with reversals in firm fundamentals and becomes stronger for stocks with higher information uncertainty. Our findings are consistent with the expectational errors hypothesis and fail to support the risk-based explanation for the investment effect.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)2504-2519
Number of pages16
JournalManagement Science
Volume62
Issue number9
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Sep 2016
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Cash-flow news
  • Investment effect
  • Q-theory
  • Return decomposition

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Strategy and Management
  • Management Science and Operations Research

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