Assessment of risk using bridge element condition ratings

Duygu Saydam, Dan M. Frangopol, You Dong

Research output: Journal article publicationJournal articleAcademic researchpeer-review

45 Citations (Scopus)


In this paper, a methodology for quantifying lifetime risk of bridge superstructures is presented. The risk is quantified in terms of the expected direct and indirect losses. A scenario-based approach, which uses the Pontis element condition rating system, is used for identifying the expected losses. The deterioration process of bridge components regarding the transition between the condition states is modeled as a Markov process. In addition, a reliability-based approach is used to compute the probabilities of component and system failure, given the condition states. The methodology is illustrated on an existing bridge inWisconsin. The expected losses associated with the flexural failure of girders are quantified in time. Furthermore, the time-variant risk-based robustness index is assessed.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)252-265
Number of pages14
JournalJournal of Infrastructure Systems
Issue number3
Publication statusPublished - 9 Sep 2013
Externally publishedYes


  • Deterioration
  • Element condition states
  • Expected losses
  • Highway bridges
  • Markov chain
  • Risk

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Civil and Structural Engineering

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