TY - JOUR
T1 - An evidential DEMATEL method to identify critical success factors in emergency management
AU - Li, Ya
AU - Hu, Yong
AU - Zhang, Xiaoge
AU - Deng, Yong
AU - Mahadevan, Sankaran
N1 - Funding Information:
Great appreciation to the anonymous reviewers whose valuable comments have improved the paper greatly. The work is partially supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China , Grant No. 61174022 , R&D Program of China , Grant No. 2012BAH07B01 , National High Technology Research and Development Program of China (863 program), Grant No. 2013AA013801 , the open funding project of State Key Laboratory of Virtual Reality Technology and Systems, Beihang University , Grant No. BUAA-VR-14KF-02 , the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities , Grant No. XDJK2013B029 , XDJK2014C082 , Specialized Research Fund for the Doctoral Program of Higher Education , Grant No. 20131102130002 .
PY - 2014/9
Y1 - 2014/9
N2 - As the result of the warmer climate and the worse environment, human beings are facing with more serious natural disasters. It is urgent to improve emergency management. Due to the fact that performance of emergency management is affected by many factors, it is difficult to improve all of them in limited resources. Thus, a feasible way is to figure out some important and urgent ones to optimize. For this purpose, a new method identifying the critical success factors (CSF) is proposed in this paper. In this method, the evaluations of influencing factors in the form of intuitionistic fuzzy numbers (IFNs) are converted into basic probability assignments (BPAs). Then Dempster-Shafer theory is adopted to combine group decision. By doing so, there is no need for defuzzification of IFNs, and DEMATEL is applied on each fused BPA to seek for a final result from different aspects. Finally, five CSFs are found out. By optimizing the five CSFs, the effectiveness and efficiency of the whole emergency management could be greatly promoted.
AB - As the result of the warmer climate and the worse environment, human beings are facing with more serious natural disasters. It is urgent to improve emergency management. Due to the fact that performance of emergency management is affected by many factors, it is difficult to improve all of them in limited resources. Thus, a feasible way is to figure out some important and urgent ones to optimize. For this purpose, a new method identifying the critical success factors (CSF) is proposed in this paper. In this method, the evaluations of influencing factors in the form of intuitionistic fuzzy numbers (IFNs) are converted into basic probability assignments (BPAs). Then Dempster-Shafer theory is adopted to combine group decision. By doing so, there is no need for defuzzification of IFNs, and DEMATEL is applied on each fused BPA to seek for a final result from different aspects. Finally, five CSFs are found out. By optimizing the five CSFs, the effectiveness and efficiency of the whole emergency management could be greatly promoted.
KW - Critical success factors (CSF)
KW - DEMATEL
KW - Dempster-Shafer theory
KW - Emergency management
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84903704284&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.asoc.2014.03.042
DO - 10.1016/j.asoc.2014.03.042
M3 - Journal article
AN - SCOPUS:84903704284
SN - 1568-4946
VL - 22
SP - 504
EP - 510
JO - Applied Soft Computing Journal
JF - Applied Soft Computing Journal
ER -