A study on the temporal dynamics of tourism demand in the Asia Pacifi c region

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8 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Using the monthly statistics of tourists from four different origins (America, Europe, Asia and Oceania) among seven places in the Asia Pacific region for a period from January 1991 to December 2005, we investigate these 28 time series using the Holt-Winters method, artificial neural network and numerical graphical plots. Interesting comparisons on level fluctuations, trends and seasonal patterns of the time series among the Asia Pacific region are explored. These findings enable us to understand more about the temporal aspect of tourism demand in the Asia Pacific region. In sum, this paper lays out the importance of understanding the trend and seasonality indices in details.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)465-485
Number of pages21
JournalInternational Journal of Tourism Research
Volume11
Issue number5
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 11 Nov 2009

Keywords

  • Holt-Winters method
  • Temporal dynamics
  • Tourism demand

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Geography, Planning and Development
  • Transportation
  • Tourism, Leisure and Hospitality Management
  • Nature and Landscape Conservation

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