A stochastic model for combined activity/destination/route choice problems

In travel behavior modeling, an important topic is to investigate what drives people to travel. A systematic analysis should examine why, where and when various activities are engaged in, and how activity engagement is related to the spatial and institutional organization of an urban area. In view of this, this paper presents a stochastic model for solving the combined activity/destination/route choice problem. It is a time-dependent model for long-term transport planning such as travel demand forecasting. The activity/destination choices are based on multinomial logit formulae and, the route choice is governed by stochastic user equilibrium principle. The solution algorithm is proposed together with a numerical example for demonstration. It is shown that the proposed modeling approach provides a powerful tool for fully understanding and predicting the complex travel behavior at strategic level.