A decision support system for mission-based ship routing considering multiple performance criteria

You Dong, Dan M. Frangopol, Samantha Sabatino

Research output: Journal article publicationJournal articleAcademic researchpeer-review

16 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

It is crucial to evaluate the risk associated with marine vessels subjected to inclement weather and sea conditions when developing a decision support system for ship routing. The generalized decision making framework developed in this paper performs a variety of tasks, including, but not limited to quantifying the flexural and fatigue performance of ship structures and employing multi-attribute utility theory to evaluate ship mission performance. A structural reliability approach is utilized to compute the probability of failure considering the uncertainties in structural capacity and load effects; specifically, effects of flexural and fatigue damage are investigated. The expected repair cost, cumulative fatigue damage, total travel time, and carbon dioxide emissions associated with ship routing are considered as consequences within the risk assessment procedure adopted in this paper. Additionally, the decision maker's risk attitude is integrated into the presented approach by employing utility theory. The presented methodology can assist decision makers in making informed decisions concerning ship routing. In order to illustrate its capabilities the approach is applied to the Joint High-speed Sealift Ship.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)190-201
Number of pages12
JournalReliability Engineering and System Safety
Volume150
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jun 2016
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Decision making
  • Multi-attribute utility theory
  • Operational conditions
  • Risk assessment
  • Ship reliability
  • Spectral fatigue analysis

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality
  • Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering

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